Iran and nuclear pride disaster after 69 years
It's been 53 years since Bertrand Russell published his
book, titled "Has Man a Future?" In the book, Russell urged the United States ,Britain ,
and the Soviet Union to immediately
destroy their nuclear weapons, and warned against other nation's ambitions to
build such weapons.
As Russell and many other theorists had predicted,
production of such weapons - thermonuclear weapons are probably capable of
destroying the whole human culture and even the human race - didn't remain
limited to those mentioned countries. Today, at least nine countries own
nuclear weapons.
Abdul Qadeer Khan's case in Pakistan and North Korea 's
irresponsible government prove the fact that keeping the secrets of nuclear
bomb production technology from non-nuclear nations is practically impossible.
We should never forget that the Manhattan Project, aimed at
building the first atomic bomb, was nothing but a rivalry with Nazi Germany
that was suspected of pursuing a nuclear bomb. However, once the World War II
ended, it was proved that Hitler never had such a plan. Worse than this is the
fact the Harry Truman - who had led the U.S. Government after the sudden death
of President Franklin Roosevelt just three weeks before the end of the World
War II -ordered the atomic bombings ofHiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945.
After Roosevelt 's
death, an unopened letter was found on his desk. It was from Niels Bohr - the
world's second greatest physicist next to Albert Einstein - who had strongly
warned against using atomic bombs. After that, some world-renowned physicists
including Einstein signed a petition calling for destruction of all nuclear
bombs; since there was no doubt that theSoviet Union would
also master the technology in a few years.
As the results of the nuclear superpowers' policies show,
during the Cold War days not only the communists and capitalist failed to hold
frank and trusty negotiations in this regard, but also in the name of peace and
security, the number of weapons of mass destruction grew significantly.
I want to highlight some issues as Iran and the P5+1 nuclear talks resume in Vienna on Feb.18:
1. None of the countries in possession of nuclear weapons
want to give them to another country.
2. Humanitarian and patriotic slogans in favor of producing
and keeping nuclear weapons to face the enemies affect the society's morals in
such a way that no nation is willing to destroy its nuclear weapons, since they
consider it as surrendering to the country's foes. For example, no presidential
candidate has ever managed to gain the support of people by promising to destroy
nuclear weapons.
We should also never forget about the insincere plan proposed by the former dictator of theSovietUnion , Nikita
Khrushchev, in 1959. He proposed the global destruction of nuclear weapons,
knowing that the West's pride would never allow accepting that suggestion. Of
course, the West also knew that Khrushchev's proposal was not sincere at all.
When capitalism is viewed as evil, and capitalist prefers to be "better
dead than red", there is no motivation for peace.
We should also never forget about the insincere plan proposed by the former dictator of theSoviet
3. Despite the fact that those scientists who were involved
in the Manhattan project condemned the nuclear strike- and the scientists who
came after them, like Stephen Hawking, who in his book titled The Universe
in a Nutshell denied Einstein wanted his work on nuclear fusion be used
against Japan - governments still honor the "fathers of nuclear
projects" as national heroes.
4. The successful deterrent power of holders of nuclear
weapons, despite their collapse, coups, etc. no foreign country dares to attack
them.
5. There is always a threat of military action or conflict
in interests among countries. While a few countries hold strategic weapons,
other countries will have no feeling of security.
6. Besides technical faults and human errors, and rulers'
foolishness, threats by other countries have made nuclear disasters inevitable
at any time. Moreover, the use of nuclear weapon is not confined to the
attacked country. For example, a strike with a thermonuclear weapon on Moscow may kill millions of people in Pakistan , India , China , or in France andBritain depending
on the wind direction.
Akbar Etemad, the first head of Iran 's Atomic
Energy Organization under the Shah Mohamma-Reza Pahlavi, held an interview with
BBC in March 2013. He said, "The Shah believed that he was strong enough
in the region and to defend his rights. So, he does not need atom bombs. He
said to me if the situation is changed, we will have to make atom bombs."
Iran was the most powerful country in theMiddle East at
that time and was a close ally of the West. But now the air and navy forces of
its neighbors, such as Turkey and Saudi Arabia are much
more powerful than Iran.
Nuclear weapons of Israel, Russia, and Pakistan, military
bases of the U.S. in the Persian Gulf, the intense enmity of Iran with Israel,
and the most important of all, applying the term "Revolution" to the
"Islamic Republic" regime even 35 years after the revolution,
motivates the country's need to have a strategic weapon. But, in reality there
is no evidence to prove that.
The insincerity of nuclear powers in meeting with each
other, and especially with those countries which do not have strategic weapons,
disregarding the crimes which are taking place in their alley countries and the
use of the human rights as a tool and their disinclination for eliminating
nuclear weapons, are the main reasons for the spread of nuclear weapons in the
world.
The future of Iran's nuclear program is clear. The
country cannot produce uranium with up to 90 percent purity level for making
atomic bombs in the next 6 months. Producing Uranium- 235 with 90 percent
purity is dependent on time and requires higher technology than what Iran holds
currently. Of course, uranium enrichment is only one of the processes for
making nuclear bombs, not all.
In this historical era, the false feelings of national pride
and surrender against the enemy should be abandoned and negotiations should be
started without any contempt and disrespect for the other side.
The closeness of Iran and the West will not be
harmful, despite warnings and concerns ofIsrael and the West. Instead, it
will save theMiddle East from the spread of nuclear weapons in the
short-run. I used the term short-run, because we cannot be optimistic about
removing the threat of global destruction until the entire nuclear stockpile is
eliminated.
Dalga Khatinoglu is Trend Persian Service head
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